Author Archives: Matthew Knee

Ready to Deploy: SCOTUS Model

In God we trust. All others must bring data. As we mourn the passing of Supreme Court Justice Ruth Bader Ginsberg, it is crucial for campaigns to focus on a new, high-profile and highly motivational issue that has arisen 45 … Read More

The Icosahedron #10 ft. Matt Knee on the Vote-by-Mail Surge & Predicting the Unpredictable

The traditional method for modeling voter turnout is looking at historical voting patterns, supplemented with enthusiasm measures. When election rules or voting dynamics change, however, information on who voted in the past becomes a lot less useful. To ensure quality … Read More

The Trump Effect — Published 01/07/2020

The 2016 election was a powerful reminder of the power of leading figures to fundamentally reshape public opinion. Once Donald Trump became the Republican Party’s standard bearer, partisans on both sides polarized around that new reality on issues from trade … Read More

The Icosahedron #4 ft. Amanda Iovino on women and security issues and Matt Knee on modeling the effect of a Trump endorsement. — Published 01/07/20

Thanks for reading our newsletter. This issue features important pieces from two of our senior leaders at WPA Intelligence. Amanda Iovino advocates for fine-tuning messaging with swing vote women view security issues, which have shifted over the past several years. … Read More

What Every Campaign Manager Needs To Know About Political Modeling | Part 2

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What Every Campaign Manager Needs To Know About Political Modeling | Part 1

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